← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.77+3.53vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.33+1.47vs Predicted
-
3Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+1.56vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University0.79+0.52vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel1.11-1.14vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina0.34-0.50vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina0.72-2.30vs Predicted
-
8University of Tennessee-0.03-1.80vs Predicted
-
9Wake Forest University-1.48-0.44vs Predicted
-
10University of Georgia-1.98-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.53University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.770.1%1st Place
-
3.47North Carolina State University1.330.2%1st Place
-
4.56Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.1%1st Place
-
4.52Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
-
3.86The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
-
5.5University of North Carolina0.340.1%1st Place
-
4.7University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
-
6.2University of Tennessee-0.030.0%1st Place
-
8.56Wake Forest University-1.480.0%1st Place
-
9.11University of Georgia-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Smith | 13.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 22.1% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Gregory Walters | 16.3% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Thompson Betts | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Ian Street | 8.7% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Harrison Reisinger | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 21.2% | 13.8% | 3.2% |
| Chris Straub | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 39.0% | 34.5% |
| Thea Genet | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 24.8% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.