Race 3A

np6-uncw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nilah Miller 14.4% 12.1% 12.5% 12.2% 11.7% 13.5% 11.0% 9.8% 2.3% 0.5%
Thompson Betts 8.4% 5.7% 9.8% 10.7% 10.9% 11.2% 16.9% 16.9% 8.1% 1.4%
Gregory Walters 15.2% 15.7% 14.4% 15.9% 12.4% 11.3% 7.6% 6.1% 1.1% 0.3%
Hogan O'Donnell 21.2% 18.9% 16.6% 13.6% 11.8% 8.2% 5.9% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Megan Ploch 12.6% 13.0% 12.3% 14.0% 13.8% 10.8% 11.7% 8.1% 3.3% 0.4%
Harrison Reisinger 5.8% 6.3% 6.9% 5.8% 8.4% 11.6% 15.0% 21.6% 15.5% 3.1%
Ian Street 9.4% 12.2% 13.0% 12.1% 14.1% 14.1% 12.7% 8.1% 3.7% 0.6%
William Smith 11.6% 13.4% 13.0% 10.9% 13.0% 13.5% 12.3% 8.8% 2.9% 0.6%
Thea Genet 0.4% 1.5% 0.4% 1.5% 1.6% 2.3% 2.4% 6.8% 24.0% 59.1%
Chris Straub 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 3.3% 2.3% 3.5% 4.5% 10.5% 38.6% 34.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.