Race 4A

np6-uncw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gregory Walters 19.5% 15.9% 13.8% 12.7% 11.8% 11.5% 8.1% 4.8% 1.7% 0.2%
Nilah Miller 11.4% 11.6% 14.2% 11.3% 13.3% 12.5% 12.2% 9.6% 3.4% 0.5%
Hogan O'Donnell 19.8% 18.8% 14.3% 17.4% 11.8% 7.8% 6.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Harrison Reisinger 4.5% 5.7% 6.6% 7.3% 9.5% 12.1% 14.0% 23.6% 13.3% 3.4%
Thompson Betts 8.1% 8.6% 9.0% 9.1% 10.8% 13.2% 15.7% 16.9% 7.1% 1.5%
Megan Ploch 14.1% 11.6% 12.6% 13.5% 12.8% 12.2% 11.6% 8.3% 3.1% 0.2%
Ian Street 9.2% 12.7% 13.6% 11.9% 13.7% 13.9% 12.4% 9.3% 2.9% 0.4%
William Smith 11.7% 12.9% 13.2% 13.2% 12.6% 11.1% 11.5% 10.0% 3.5% 0.3%
Chris Straub 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.6% 1.8% 3.2% 4.9% 10.0% 39.3% 34.0%
Thea Genet 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 3.2% 4.8% 24.9% 59.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.