Race 5A

np6-uncw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gregory Walters 18.2% 16.2% 15.4% 13.9% 10.2% 10.9% 8.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Harrison Reisinger 5.7% 4.8% 6.5% 8.1% 10.1% 7.8% 15.2% 24.0% 15.3% 2.5%
Nilah Miller 11.9% 12.5% 10.5% 12.5% 13.3% 14.2% 12.5% 8.9% 3.2% 0.5%
Hogan O'Donnell 20.7% 18.9% 16.8% 14.4% 11.9% 8.1% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Megan Ploch 12.7% 12.2% 13.6% 12.9% 12.2% 14.5% 10.6% 7.4% 3.7% 0.2%
Ian Street 12.5% 11.1% 11.8% 12.3% 13.2% 11.6% 13.1% 10.0% 4.2% 0.2%
William Smith 9.6% 13.1% 13.6% 13.4% 13.8% 13.6% 11.9% 8.2% 2.2% 0.6%
Thompson Betts 6.7% 9.3% 9.9% 8.6% 11.6% 13.2% 16.0% 15.9% 7.5% 1.3%
Chris Straub 1.3% 1.2% 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 3.2% 4.8% 11.2% 37.6% 34.9%
Thea Genet 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.5% 1.7% 2.9% 2.7% 6.2% 23.6% 59.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.