Race 14B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Howard 13.1% 11.6% 12.8% 12.6% 13.7% 11.6% 9.9% 8.0% 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Eric Decesar 10.2% 12.2% 11.5% 12.3% 11.7% 11.5% 12.0% 10.5% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Daniel Perkins 20.1% 15.8% 16.1% 13.6% 11.3% 10.0% 7.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 15.8% 18.4% 14.8% 13.4% 11.9% 9.9% 7.3% 4.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 5.4% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 8.2% 12.4% 11.0% 12.5% 13.3% 10.2% 5.0% 1.5%
Richard Meisenbach 2.5% 2.4% 3.0% 4.0% 4.6% 5.3% 7.0% 11.3% 13.4% 18.9% 18.7% 8.9%
Martin McDonald 6.3% 7.1% 7.4% 7.9% 8.6% 10.4% 11.3% 13.1% 12.1% 9.6% 4.9% 1.3%
Hanna Vincent 17.5% 15.1% 13.8% 13.3% 10.8% 10.0% 8.7% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Ben Lamont 4.9% 6.5% 8.5% 9.6% 10.7% 9.9% 12.8% 14.0% 11.1% 8.3% 3.2% 0.5%
Colin Henderson 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 2.4% 2.3% 4.2% 7.4% 11.9% 15.3% 22.4% 25.6%
Matthew Butcka 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 3.4% 4.4% 5.3% 6.2% 13.3% 17.4% 23.1% 19.8%
John Fonte 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.7% 2.3% 2.7% 3.8% 7.9% 13.5% 20.5% 42.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.