← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1The Citadel1.11+2.95vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.33+1.58vs Predicted
-
3Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+1.68vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina0.34+1.66vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.77-0.29vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University0.79-1.40vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina0.72-2.16vs Predicted
-
8Wake Forest University-0.47-0.74vs Predicted
-
9University of Georgia-1.98+0.29vs Predicted
-
10University of Tennessee-0.03-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.95The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
-
3.58North Carolina State University1.330.2%1st Place
-
4.68Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.1%1st Place
-
5.66University of North Carolina0.340.1%1st Place
-
4.71University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.770.1%1st Place
-
4.6Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
-
4.84University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
-
7.26Wake Forest University-0.470.0%1st Place
-
9.29University of Georgia-1.980.0%1st Place
-
6.43University of Tennessee-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 18.0% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 20.3% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Megan Ploch | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Thompson Betts | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 2.0% |
| William Smith | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Ian Street | 8.6% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Sparacio | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 16.7% | 29.9% | 13.5% |
| Thea Genet | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 11.6% | 73.9% |
| Harrison Reisinger | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.