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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gregory Walters 18.0% 16.4% 14.4% 12.1% 11.6% 10.5% 8.7% 5.0% 2.7% 0.6%
Hogan O'Donnell 20.3% 17.7% 17.3% 12.6% 10.6% 9.7% 6.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Megan Ploch 12.3% 12.0% 11.2% 10.9% 13.2% 15.5% 10.1% 8.5% 5.8% 0.5%
Thompson Betts 6.7% 7.0% 9.7% 10.4% 10.2% 13.2% 14.0% 14.7% 12.1% 2.0%
William Smith 11.8% 11.0% 12.5% 13.0% 12.0% 13.6% 10.6% 9.1% 5.1% 1.3%
Nilah Miller 13.7% 11.3% 12.0% 13.9% 12.1% 9.0% 12.5% 9.8% 5.1% 0.6%
Ian Street 8.6% 13.5% 10.8% 13.9% 14.0% 11.1% 10.0% 10.6% 6.4% 1.1%
Matthew Sparacio 3.5% 3.5% 4.8% 4.5% 6.2% 7.5% 9.9% 16.7% 29.9% 13.5%
Thea Genet 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 1.7% 1.1% 1.6% 3.7% 4.1% 11.6% 73.9%
Harrison Reisinger 4.6% 6.6% 6.5% 7.0% 9.0% 8.3% 13.6% 17.8% 20.2% 6.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.