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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gregory Walters 17.8% 16.9% 14.2% 12.3% 10.3% 10.8% 9.4% 4.5% 3.4% 0.4%
Hogan O'Donnell 20.9% 16.9% 15.5% 14.3% 12.4% 8.4% 6.3% 4.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Thompson Betts 7.7% 7.6% 8.2% 8.3% 10.0% 12.6% 14.4% 16.5% 11.8% 2.9%
William Smith 10.4% 12.3% 13.4% 11.6% 12.7% 13.6% 10.0% 9.7% 5.4% 0.9%
Nilah Miller 12.2% 11.3% 11.7% 14.8% 12.4% 12.7% 10.7% 7.9% 5.3% 1.0%
Megan Ploch 13.6% 12.2% 11.8% 13.6% 12.3% 9.7% 11.6% 10.3% 3.7% 1.2%
Ian Street 8.9% 12.5% 11.4% 13.5% 13.0% 13.0% 11.4% 9.7% 5.5% 1.1%
Thea Genet 0.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 2.5% 5.4% 12.3% 73.0%
Matthew Sparacio 3.7% 3.2% 4.7% 4.2% 6.1% 8.0% 10.6% 14.8% 31.3% 13.4%
Harrison Reisinger 4.5% 6.3% 7.7% 6.2% 9.0% 9.9% 13.1% 17.0% 20.3% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.