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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina0.72+2.87vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.77+1.77vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79+0.69vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-0.41vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.33-2.50vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina0.34-1.31vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-0.47-0.74vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.98+0.30vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-0.03-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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4.87University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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4.77University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.770.1%1st Place
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4.69Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.59Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.1%1st Place
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3.5North Carolina State University1.330.2%1st Place
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5.69University of North Carolina0.340.1%1st Place
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7.26Wake Forest University-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Georgia-1.980.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Tennessee-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 18.1% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Ian Street | 10.7% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| William Smith | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Megan Ploch | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 21.5% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Thompson Betts | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Sparacio | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 30.8% | 13.3% |
| Thea Genet | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 11.3% | 74.3% |
| Harrison Reisinger | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.