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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.34+1.51vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+0.24vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.59+0.57vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University-0.43+1.25vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.11-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+1.45vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-1.20-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.99-0.20vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-2.80vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.95-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51University of South Carolina1.340.3%1st Place
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2.24North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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3.57University of North Carolina0.590.1%1st Place
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5.25Wake Forest University-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.25The Citadel0.110.1%1st Place
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7.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.64Clemson University-1.200.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Georgia-1.990.0%1st Place
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6.2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Tennessee-2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Thurlow | 30.1% | 29.0% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 36.2% | 27.8% | 21.0% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hostutler | 13.6% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 21.3% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Taylor | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Lewis Bragg | 8.9% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 13.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 23.9% | 14.3% |
| John Ruane | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 12.7% | 4.9% |
| Cason Smith | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 29.8% | 18.1% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 10.6% | 2.1% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 18.7% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.