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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.34+0.20vs Predicted
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3Wake Forest University-0.43+1.65vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.11-0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-1.99+2.20vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-1.20-0.15vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-1.48vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-2.64+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.95-0.30vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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2.2University of South Carolina1.340.3%1st Place
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4.65Wake Forest University-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.76The Citadel0.110.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Georgia-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.85Clemson University-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.52Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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8.22University of North Carolina-2.640.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Tennessee-2.950.0%1st Place
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6.9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 42.7% | 30.7% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Thurlow | 33.4% | 32.3% | 21.0% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Taylor | 5.9% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 7.9% | 14.5% | 23.8% | 23.4% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cason Smith | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 21.3% | 11.5% |
| John Ruane | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.5% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 26.8% | 30.6% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 22.0% | 47.3% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 20.9% | 17.4% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.