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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+0.99vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.34+0.20vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.11+0.81vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University-0.43+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-1.99+2.18vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-1.20-0.11vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-1.48vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-2.64-0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.95-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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2.2University of South Carolina1.340.3%1st Place
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3.81The Citadel0.110.1%1st Place
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4.62Wake Forest University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Georgia-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.89Clemson University-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.52Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.85University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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8.27University of North Carolina-2.640.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Tennessee-2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 42.5% | 31.5% | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Thurlow | 33.0% | 32.8% | 21.3% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 10.6% | 11.9% | 21.5% | 21.6% | 19.1% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Taylor | 4.1% | 8.3% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cason Smith | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 21.7% | 21.1% | 11.4% |
| John Ruane | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 15.4% | 8.1% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 27.9% | 30.8% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 22.5% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.