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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.34+1.20vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.11+1.75vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54-1.01vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University-0.43+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-1.99+2.22vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-1.20-0.11vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-2.64-0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.95-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of South Carolina1.340.4%1st Place
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3.75The Citadel0.110.1%1st Place
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1.99North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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4.62Wake Forest University-0.430.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Georgia-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.89Clemson University-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.53Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.85University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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8.27University of North Carolina-2.640.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Tennessee-2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Thurlow | 35.2% | 32.7% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 9.9% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 22.8% | 17.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 40.0% | 33.1% | 17.5% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Taylor | 5.2% | 6.4% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cason Smith | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 21.0% | 11.4% |
| John Ruane | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.6% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 21.3% | 15.4% | 8.1% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 27.9% | 30.8% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 22.5% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.