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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.34+0.19vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-1.20+3.06vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University-0.43+0.66vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96+0.51vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-2.21+1.68vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-0.03vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.99-0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.95-0.22vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.11-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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2.19University of South Carolina1.340.3%1st Place
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6.06Clemson University-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.66Wake Forest University-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.51Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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7.68University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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6.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Georgia-1.990.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Tennessee-2.950.0%1st Place
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3.8The Citadel0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 42.6% | 30.0% | 16.8% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Thurlow | 33.8% | 32.1% | 20.3% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ruane | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 15.5% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| Theodore Taylor | 3.9% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Tan Tonge | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Phillips | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 24.5% | 20.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 20.9% | 17.3% | 8.2% |
| Cason Smith | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 14.7% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 19.8% | 52.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 9.4% | 14.1% | 21.9% | 22.5% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.