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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+6.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.79+4.74vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+4.59vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+5.10vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+2.78vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.86+4.69vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71+0.16vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-0.87vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.50-0.84vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29-1.39vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-4.48vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.29-3.24vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.79-1.99vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.41-1.67vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.08-5.36vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.48vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.78Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.16Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.61University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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12.33Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
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9.64Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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13.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Patten | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 7.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Swanson | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 20.1% |
| Eliza Richartz | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.