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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.11+2.76vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.540.00vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.34-0.78vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University-0.43+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+1.88vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-1.20-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.99+0.40vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-2.45vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-2.21-1.25vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.95-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76The Citadel0.110.1%1st Place
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2.0North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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2.22University of South Carolina1.340.3%1st Place
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4.67Wake Forest University-0.430.1%1st Place
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6.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.98Clemson University-1.200.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Georgia-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.55Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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7.75University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Tennessee-2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Bragg | 11.7% | 13.3% | 22.3% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 41.6% | 30.0% | 18.5% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Thurlow | 31.5% | 34.4% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Taylor | 5.6% | 6.9% | 14.0% | 21.0% | 19.5% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 21.1% | 18.3% | 8.1% |
| John Ruane | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Cason Smith | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 20.9% | 20.4% | 14.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Ethan Phillips | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 26.1% | 20.3% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.