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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+6.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.37vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.50+4.96vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+3.24vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.41vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.29+2.92vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+2.30vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.08+0.87vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.79-3.27vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-1.82vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.79-1.26vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05+0.50vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.29-5.05vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.92-8.62vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.41-3.75vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.50-8.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.96Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.24Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.87Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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6.73Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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13.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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8.95University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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12.25Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Patten | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 34.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 18.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.