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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+7.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+7.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.69+2.87vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.10+4.08vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+1.39vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.69+3.80vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.73+2.46vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-2.56vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.38+2.01vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.22-2.59vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-2.82vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.95-3.41vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.28+1.37vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.70-0.71vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.70-5.46vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.77-6.62vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.98-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.5Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.87Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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6.39Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.8Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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5.44Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.01Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.41Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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8.59Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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14.37Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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13.29Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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9.54Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
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9.38Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Connor Macken | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nick Budington | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Jonas Nelle | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 14.7% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 7.1% |
| Jed Bell | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Elliott | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| William Bedford | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 43.6% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 18.8% | 26.3% |
| matthew Monts | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.