← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.50+5.36vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University2.01+6.30vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College1.95+5.64vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.22+3.63vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.69+0.73vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.69+3.83vs Predicted
-
7Boston College1.77+2.34vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.81-2.60vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.69+0.84vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.98-1.65vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.70+2.16vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.38-1.25vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.10-4.87vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College1.70-4.35vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island1.73-5.54vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-7.90vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University0.28-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.36Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
8.3North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
-
8.64Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
-
7.63Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
-
5.73Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
-
9.83Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
-
9.34Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
-
5.4Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
9.84Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.35Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
-
13.16Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
-
10.75Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
-
8.13Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
-
9.65Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
-
9.46University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
-
8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
-
14.33Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| William Bedford | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Jed Bell | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Farina | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 26.3% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.1% |
| Nick Budington | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| matthew Monts | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 16.7% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.