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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+5.29vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.38+8.79vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+6.58vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+3.60vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.01+3.19vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.69+3.82vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.69-1.19vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-2.61vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95-0.18vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-2.12vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.10-2.85vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.98-3.52vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.70-3.27vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.28+0.39vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.70-1.89vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.73-6.44vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.77-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.79Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.58Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.6Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.19North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.82Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.81Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.39Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.82Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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8.15Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.73Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
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14.39Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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13.11Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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9.42Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 5.6% |
| Connor Macken | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Jed Bell | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Adam Larson | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Nick Budington | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| matthew Monts | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 16.5% | 44.4% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 19.5% | 24.9% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.