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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+7.20vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.95+6.48vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+4.57vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.77+5.38vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81+0.32vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.70+3.75vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.50-0.50vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.69-2.23vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.38+2.00vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98-1.60vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.10-2.92vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.69-2.40vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.70+0.23vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.73-4.40vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-6.96vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.28-1.60vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.69-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.48Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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5.32Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.75Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
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6.5Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.77Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.0Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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9.6Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.23Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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8.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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14.4Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.68Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| William Bedford | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Jed Bell | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 13.9% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Nick Budington | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 19.0% | 25.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 18.2% | 41.7% |
| Connor Macken | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.