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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.69+4.68vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+7.57vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+3.52vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+3.62vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81+0.34vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.95+2.74vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.10+1.01vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University2.01+0.26vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.70+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.73-0.66vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.69-1.23vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.98-3.54vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.77-3.56vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.28+0.39vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.38-4.17vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-7.89vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.70-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.57Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.52Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.34Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.74Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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8.01Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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8.26North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.78Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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9.77Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.44Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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14.39Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.83Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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13.17Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jed Bell | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Nick Budington | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Adam Larson | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| matthew Monts | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 44.3% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 7.5% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 18.7% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.