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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+8.42vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+6.29vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.69+6.61vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+1.49vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.70+4.38vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.69-0.02vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.10+0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.73+1.24vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.38+2.03vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.95-1.47vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.22-3.24vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.28+2.31vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-4.83vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.98-5.38vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-8.46vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.70-2.77vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.77-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.29North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.49Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.38Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
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5.98Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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11.03Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.53Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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7.76Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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14.31Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.23Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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9.42Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Macken | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Adam Larson | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 13.8% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Mateo Farina | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Budington | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Champney | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Luke Hosek | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% |
| William Bedford | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Jed Bell | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 45.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Jonas Nelle | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 20.5% | 23.7% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.