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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.69+8.42vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+5.43vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+2.41vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01+4.46vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.69+0.73vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.77+3.52vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+1.46vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.38+2.62vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.69+0.86vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.70-0.53vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.50-4.33vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.95-3.41vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.10-4.85vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.73-4.39vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-6.97vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.70-2.78vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.28-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.41Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.46North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.73Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.52Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.86Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.47Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
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6.67Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.59Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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8.15Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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13.22Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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14.36Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robitshek | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Jed Bell | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Mateo Farina | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Connor Macken | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 3.1% |
| matthew Monts | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Jonas Nelle | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| William Bedford | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Nick Budington | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 20.2% | 23.8% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.