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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.69+0.70vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.60-0.23vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.62+0.56vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.69-2.30vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.39-1.58vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-2.89-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Marquette University0.690.5%1st Place
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1.77University of Notre Dame0.600.4%1st Place
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3.56University of Notre Dame-1.620.0%1st Place
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1.7Marquette University0.690.5%1st Place
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3.42Western Michigan University-1.390.0%1st Place
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4.54University of Michigan-2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Farrell | 46.8% | 39.4% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Golden | 42.9% | 40.3% | 14.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stephens | 4.6% | 8.4% | 28.7% | 42.8% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Farrell | 46.8% | 39.4% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eliott Sikkenga | 4.6% | 9.7% | 37.5% | 35.0% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Grobbel | 1.1% | 2.2% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 70.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.