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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+2.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.08+5.11vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.55+2.80vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.52+1.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.40+4.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+1.05vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.34+2.71vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.60-2.46vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.41+0.65vs Predicted
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10Brown University-0.07+0.98vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.95-3.22vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.21-1.83vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-4.89vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.54-1.61vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.91-7.10vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-1.91-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Brown University2.2824.7%1st Place
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7.11Brown University1.086.1%1st Place
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5.8Roger Williams University1.559.2%1st Place
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5.84Roger Williams University1.529.8%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.403.7%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.076.8%1st Place
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9.71University of Rhode Island0.343.2%1st Place
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5.54Roger Williams University1.6011.3%1st Place
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9.65Brown University0.413.0%1st Place
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10.98Brown University-0.072.0%1st Place
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7.78Roger Williams University0.955.2%1st Place
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10.17University of Rhode Island0.213.2%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.784.9%1st Place
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12.39University of Rhode Island-0.541.1%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University0.915.4%1st Place
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14.9University of Rhode Island-1.910.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Stapleton | 24.7% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Connor McHugh | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bo Angus | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Judge | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| David Vinogradov | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Pierson Falk | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 2.3% |
| Jack Roman | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
| William Baker | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 5.7% |
| reece schwartz | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Lentz | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 2.5% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Finneas Coldreck | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 26.2% | 14.1% |
| Parker Moore | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Leo Giard | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 11.6% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.