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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+5.21vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+6.79vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.84+6.19vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.26+6.43vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55+0.28vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+2.37vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.95+0.56vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.51vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.10-0.10vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.18+0.47vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.06-0.39vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.34-6.12vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07-0.74vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.42-4.15vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.49-5.28vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.00-4.70vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-7.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Brown University2.379.8%1st Place
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8.79Roger Williams University1.605.7%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University1.844.3%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University1.263.6%1st Place
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5.28Yale University2.5515.8%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston College1.956.9%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.2%1st Place
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8.9Harvard University2.104.1%1st Place
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10.47Bowdoin College1.183.2%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont1.063.6%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College2.3411.5%1st Place
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12.26Boston University1.072.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island1.424.0%1st Place
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9.72Northwestern University1.494.6%1st Place
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11.3Connecticut College1.002.9%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Roman | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% |
| Chase Decker | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Porter Bell | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 22.6% |
| Henry Lee | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% |
| Shea Smith | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| William Hurd | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.