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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+5.64vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+5.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05+10.29vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+5.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.29+3.57vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+1.29vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+0.59vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-0.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.69vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29-1.35vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.50-2.85vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.41+0.18vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.86-2.27vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.83vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.08-5.34vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.92-9.64vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.79-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.87Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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13.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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9.12Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.29Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.65University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.15Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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12.18Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.66Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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6.36University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.85University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 31.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Patten | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 15.9% | 19.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Eliza Richartz | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.