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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+4.29vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+6.32vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.69+6.63vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.77+5.36vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.95+3.45vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+3.85vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.50-0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.73+1.27vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.69-3.02vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.10-2.10vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.22-3.28vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.38-1.20vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.70+0.23vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.70-4.28vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-6.96vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.98-7.43vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.28-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Bowdoin College2.810.2%1st Place
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8.32North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.63Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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8.45Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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9.85Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.52Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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5.98Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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10.8Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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13.23Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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9.72Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
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8.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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14.34Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 16.2% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| William Bedford | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Connor Macken | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Mateo Farina | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nick Budington | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Jed Bell | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 19.7% | 24.7% |
| matthew Monts | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.