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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.43vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.62+7.02vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+0.66vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.63+5.11vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.54+0.54vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.59+3.41vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.13+0.12vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.43+1.72vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.96+2.89vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.55-0.71vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-0.53vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.14-1.03vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.12-1.77vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49-4.21vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.25-4.45vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.02-4.49vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.13-9.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.02Boston College1.620.0%1st Place
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3.66University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University1.630.0%1st Place
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5.54North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.41Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.12Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.72Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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11.89Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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9.29Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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10.47Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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10.97Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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11.23Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.0%1st Place
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10.55Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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11.51Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 21.8% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| Scott Harris | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Petru Neagu | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Graham Ness | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 16.5% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% |
| Helen Horangic | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.9% |
| Garrett Blosen | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.