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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+2.59vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+4.50vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54+2.69vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.13+3.20vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.62+4.03vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.14+5.17vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59+2.24vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.55+1.21vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.96+2.87vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.63-1.05vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.12+0.19vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.13-4.88vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-2.56vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.43-4.00vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.02-3.52vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49-6.29vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.25-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Rhode Island3.230.3%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.69North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.2Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.03Boston College1.620.0%1st Place
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11.17Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.24Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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11.87Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.19Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.44Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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10.0Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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11.48Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.0%1st Place
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10.64Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 25.3% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Scott Harris | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Graham Ness | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Francis Selldorff | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Helen Horangic | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 15.8% |
| William Bailey | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 15.3% |
| Garrett Blosen | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.