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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+9.34vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+3.59vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.13+4.13vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.43+5.95vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.59+4.04vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.55+3.61vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-4.26vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.62+0.26vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.96+1.61vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.14+0.17vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.12-0.90vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.63-3.80vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.13-6.82vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49-5.42vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.02-4.42vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.31-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.34Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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5.59North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.95Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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9.04Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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9.26Boston College1.620.0%1st Place
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11.61Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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11.17Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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11.1Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.18Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.0%1st Place
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11.58Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.41Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| Scott Harris | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 24.3% | 18.6% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis Selldorff | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 15.8% |
| Helen Horangic | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% |
| Griffin Richardson | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.4% |
| William Bailey | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Garrett Blosen | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.