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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.59+8.05vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.62+6.99vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23-0.25vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.96+6.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49+3.82vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.25+3.60vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29-1.51vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.13-1.73vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31+0.24vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.63-1.76vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.55-2.63vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.43-2.97vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.12-2.80vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.13-7.84vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.02-4.41vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.14-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05Yale University1.590.1%1st Place
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8.99Boston College1.620.0%1st Place
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5.69North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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11.45Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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9.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.0%1st Place
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10.6Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.49Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.24Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.24Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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10.03Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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11.2Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.59Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.07Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petru Neagu | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Scott Harris | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 22.0% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 15.1% |
| Garrett Blosen | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| William Bailey | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% |
| Griffin Richardson | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% |
| Graham Ness | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 15.7% |
| Helen Horangic | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.