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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.39vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.13+4.99vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54+2.69vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.59+5.26vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.13+1.96vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49+3.78vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.62+2.13vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-4.29vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.96+2.86vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.55-0.74vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.63-1.80vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.02-0.56vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-2.50vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.43-3.96vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.25-4.42vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.14-4.94vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.12-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.69North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.26Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.0%1st Place
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9.13Boston College1.620.0%1st Place
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3.71University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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11.86Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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11.44Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.5Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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10.04Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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10.58Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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11.06Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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11.14Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Scott Harris | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Garrett Blosen | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 23.8% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 16.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| William Bailey | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% |
| Helen Horangic | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.