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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.43vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.62+7.04vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+0.70vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.55+5.46vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.54+0.59vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.13+1.25vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59+2.25vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.13-0.95vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.25+1.80vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.43-0.24vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49-1.24vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.12-0.95vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.14-1.89vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.02-2.38vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.96-3.37vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-5.62vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.63-7.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston College1.620.0%1st Place
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3.7University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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9.46Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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5.59North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.25Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.05Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.8Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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9.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.0%1st Place
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11.05Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
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11.11Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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11.62Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.63Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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10.38Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 22.3% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| Scott Harris | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Graham Ness | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Garrett Blosen | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Griffin Richardson | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% |
| Helen Horangic | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 15.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 17.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% |
| William Bailey | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.