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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.13+5.97vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+3.55vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.13+4.15vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.62+5.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.63+3.84vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.59+3.38vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.55+2.43vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-4.29vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.43+1.08vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.96+1.59vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.02+0.56vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.14-1.01vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.29-6.37vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.25-3.27vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49-5.41vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-5.58vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.12-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.55North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.21Boston College1.620.0%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University1.630.0%1st Place
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9.38Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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3.71University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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11.59Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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11.56Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.99Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.73Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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9.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.0%1st Place
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10.42Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.17Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Ness | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Scott Harris | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| William Bailey | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Petru Neagu | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 24.3% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 15.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.9% |
| Helen Horangic | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% |
| Garrett Blosen | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.4% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.