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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+4.09vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+6.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+6.70vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.07+8.31vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.34+0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+3.92vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+1.52vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.26+2.48vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.95-1.24vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.18+0.31vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-2.73vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.84-2.87vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.49-3.18vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.37-7.74vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.60-6.11vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.00-4.53vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.06-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Yale University2.5515.6%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University2.104.7%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.7%1st Place
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12.31Boston University1.071.9%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College2.3410.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island1.424.0%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.625.2%1st Place
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10.48Northeastern University1.263.5%1st Place
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7.76Boston College1.957.5%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College1.183.5%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.2%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University1.844.9%1st Place
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9.82Northwestern University1.494.5%1st Place
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6.26Brown University2.3710.9%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University1.605.5%1st Place
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11.47Connecticut College1.002.7%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont1.063.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.6% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% |
| Porter Bell | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 23.5% |
| Chase Decker | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Henry Lee | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% |
| William Kulas | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Shea Smith | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Roman | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| William Hurd | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.