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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+5.17vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+5.96vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.43vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+3.38vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29+2.97vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71+0.10vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.79-1.30vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.08+0.88vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.41+2.14vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-1.80vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.79-1.24vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.50-4.93vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.29-5.11vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.50-7.09vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05-2.50vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.86-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.38Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.97University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.1Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.7Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.88Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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12.14Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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7.91Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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13.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 17.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 16.2% | 32.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.