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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+2.56vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.59+7.20vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.62+6.12vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.56vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.25+5.34vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.63+3.30vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.43+2.86vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49+1.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.14+2.20vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.13-2.97vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.13-3.71vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University2.54-6.27vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.55-3.49vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-3.54vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.96-3.28vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.02-4.48vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.12-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of Rhode Island3.230.3%1st Place
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9.2Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.12Boston College1.620.0%1st Place
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6.56Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.34Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University1.630.0%1st Place
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9.86Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.1%1st Place
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11.2Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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7.03Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.73North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.51Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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10.46Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.72Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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11.52Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.19Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 26.1% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Francis Selldorff | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% |
| William Bailey | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Garrett Blosen | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Helen Horangic | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% |
| Graham Ness | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Scott Harris | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 6.4% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 16.7% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 14.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.