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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+2.05vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.69-0.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.12-0.11vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.42+0.36vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.1%1st Place
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1.51Webb Institute1.690.6%1st Place
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2.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.120.1%1st Place
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4.36Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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3.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Gorman | 12.2% | 22.5% | 26.1% | 26.7% | 12.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 61.9% | 27.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Adkins | 14.1% | 23.4% | 30.8% | 22.6% | 9.1% |
| Collin Ross | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 19.9% | 63.7% |
| Kristin Hess | 9.0% | 21.3% | 26.1% | 29.0% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.