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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+0.51vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+1.04vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.12+0.15vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.42+0.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.12-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51Webb Institute1.690.6%1st Place
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3.04SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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4.39Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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2.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 64.5% | 23.7% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 10.3% | 23.9% | 28.1% | 26.7% | 11.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 10.6% | 19.8% | 27.1% | 29.2% | 13.3% |
| Collin Ross | 2.2% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 66.2% |
| Christopher Adkins | 12.4% | 27.6% | 25.6% | 25.4% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.