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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+0.51vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+1.08vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.42+1.37vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.12-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51Webb Institute1.690.6%1st Place
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3.08SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.37Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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3.14SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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2.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 64.9% | 23.0% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 9.4% | 23.8% | 28.3% | 26.2% | 12.3% |
| Collin Ross | 3.0% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 66.6% |
| Kristin Hess | 9.5% | 21.8% | 25.9% | 31.0% | 11.8% |
| Christopher Adkins | 13.2% | 26.0% | 26.3% | 26.1% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.