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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+0.53vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+1.07vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.42+1.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.12-1.09vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Webb Institute1.690.6%1st Place
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3.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.36Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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2.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.120.1%1st Place
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3.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 64.3% | 22.6% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 9.5% | 24.3% | 28.1% | 26.2% | 11.9% |
| Collin Ross | 3.0% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 66.0% |
| Christopher Adkins | 12.1% | 27.3% | 26.2% | 26.1% | 8.3% |
| Kristin Hess | 11.1% | 20.7% | 25.0% | 30.2% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.