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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-1.42+3.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.12+0.93vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+0.07vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.69-2.51vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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2.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.120.1%1st Place
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3.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.1%1st Place
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1.49Webb Institute1.690.6%1st Place
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3.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Ross | 3.2% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 64.0% |
| Christopher Adkins | 11.7% | 26.0% | 28.4% | 25.1% | 8.8% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 10.9% | 22.0% | 28.6% | 26.6% | 11.9% |
| Payne Donaldson | 64.4% | 25.1% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 9.8% | 20.6% | 25.5% | 28.8% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.