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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+0.50vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.12+0.90vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+0.05vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.82vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.42-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Webb Institute1.690.6%1st Place
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2.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.120.1%1st Place
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3.05SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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4.37Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 64.7% | 23.7% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Adkins | 11.9% | 26.8% | 28.9% | 24.3% | 8.1% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 11.8% | 22.3% | 25.8% | 29.6% | 10.5% |
| Kristin Hess | 9.2% | 21.0% | 26.9% | 28.4% | 14.5% |
| Collin Ross | 2.4% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.