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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+0.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.12+0.88vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.12+0.15vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.42+0.40vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Webb Institute1.690.6%1st Place
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2.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.120.1%1st Place
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3.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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4.4Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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3.05SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 64.0% | 23.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Adkins | 12.3% | 27.0% | 28.0% | 25.5% | 7.2% |
| Kristin Hess | 10.3% | 20.3% | 26.8% | 28.9% | 13.7% |
| Collin Ross | 2.3% | 4.9% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 66.4% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 11.1% | 24.0% | 26.0% | 26.7% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.