← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.91+0.44vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.79vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+0.12vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.75vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-1.42-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.44Webb Institute1.910.7%1st Place
-
2.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
-
3.12SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.1%1st Place
-
3.25SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
-
4.4Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 69.0% | 20.8% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Patrick McCarron | 12.5% | 30.1% | 29.1% | 22.2% | 6.1% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 9.4% | 22.5% | 26.1% | 31.0% | 11.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 7.1% | 20.9% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 15.4% |
| Collin Ross | 2.0% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.