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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+7.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+7.61vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+2.13vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.37+2.28vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.95+2.65vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.32vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.00+4.11vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.18+2.29vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.60-0.17vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.84-0.71vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-2.58vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.49-2.07vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07-0.71vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.42-4.11vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.34-9.15vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.06-5.41vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.26-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.81Harvard University2.105.7%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.6%1st Place
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5.13Yale University2.5513.6%1st Place
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6.28Brown University2.3710.8%1st Place
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7.65Boston College1.957.2%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.1%1st Place
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11.11Connecticut College1.003.0%1st Place
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10.29Bowdoin College1.184.5%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University1.604.7%1st Place
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9.29Roger Williams University1.845.0%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.625.7%1st Place
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9.93Northwestern University1.493.8%1st Place
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12.29Boston University1.071.9%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island1.424.4%1st Place
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5.85Dartmouth College2.3411.6%1st Place
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10.59University of Vermont1.063.9%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University1.263.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| William Hurd | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.3% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% |
| Jack Roman | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| William Kulas | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Shea Smith | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Porter Bell | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 22.4% |
| Henry Lee | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% |
| Chase Decker | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.