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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+6.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.45vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+5.77vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+3.67vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+3.84vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+1.33vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.50+0.95vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.41+3.92vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.92-2.48vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.79-3.28vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.08-1.16vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.50-4.05vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.05vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-3.34vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.67-7.71vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.29-7.10vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.77University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.84Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.33Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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11.92Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.72Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.84Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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7.95Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.95University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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13.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 6.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Patten | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 19.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Eliza Richartz | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 7.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.