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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+0.43vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+1.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.20vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.77vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.42-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43Webb Institute1.910.7%1st Place
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3.14SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.1%1st Place
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2.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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3.23SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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4.4Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 68.1% | 22.9% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 8.8% | 21.2% | 28.4% | 29.9% | 11.7% |
| Patrick McCarron | 13.4% | 29.4% | 27.2% | 23.9% | 6.1% |
| Kristin Hess | 7.5% | 21.0% | 27.5% | 29.4% | 14.6% |
| Collin Ross | 2.2% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.