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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+0.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.80vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.12+0.20vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-0.84vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.42-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44Webb Institute1.910.7%1st Place
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2.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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3.2SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.16SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.41Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 68.8% | 21.4% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Patrick McCarron | 12.4% | 30.0% | 29.3% | 22.2% | 6.1% |
| Kristin Hess | 8.5% | 20.4% | 26.1% | 33.0% | 12.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 8.3% | 22.9% | 27.0% | 28.1% | 13.7% |
| Collin Ross | 2.0% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.