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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+0.44vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+1.15vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.42+1.39vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.79vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44Webb Institute1.910.7%1st Place
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3.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.39Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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3.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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2.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 67.8% | 22.6% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 8.4% | 21.8% | 29.1% | 28.2% | 12.5% |
| Collin Ross | 2.5% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 67.6% |
| Kristin Hess | 7.9% | 20.7% | 26.2% | 32.5% | 12.7% |
| Patrick McCarron | 13.4% | 29.6% | 27.1% | 23.2% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.