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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.72+0.76vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.67+0.21vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.40-1.09vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.51-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Webb Institute0.720.5%1st Place
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3.05SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.670.1%1st Place
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2.91Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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4.06SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Heilshorn | 52.2% | 27.4% | 13.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Magill | 13.1% | 22.0% | 26.2% | 23.7% | 15.0% |
| Gus Schoenbucher | 13.0% | 17.4% | 23.7% | 27.5% | 18.4% |
| Alec Wyers | 16.0% | 24.1% | 24.8% | 22.7% | 12.4% |
| Adam Zeng | 5.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 21.1% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.