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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.72+0.76vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.40+0.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.67+0.19vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.92vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.51-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Webb Institute0.720.5%1st Place
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2.9Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.08SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.06SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Heilshorn | 52.8% | 26.9% | 13.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Alec Wyers | 15.2% | 25.3% | 25.4% | 22.3% | 11.8% |
| Gus Schoenbucher | 12.6% | 18.3% | 23.7% | 27.8% | 17.6% |
| Ryan Magill | 13.6% | 20.7% | 25.3% | 24.5% | 15.9% |
| Adam Zeng | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.