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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.72+0.76vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.07vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.40-0.12vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.51+0.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.67-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Webb Institute0.720.5%1st Place
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3.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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2.88Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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4.08SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.0%1st Place
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3.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Heilshorn | 53.4% | 25.8% | 14.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Magill | 12.8% | 22.0% | 24.4% | 26.9% | 13.9% |
| Alec Wyers | 17.0% | 24.1% | 25.2% | 21.7% | 12.0% |
| Adam Zeng | 4.6% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 53.2% |
| Gus Schoenbucher | 12.2% | 19.7% | 21.7% | 27.3% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.